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01. März 2011     Print Print 

Fragile recovery in the European residential

Recovery is underway in the majority of European housing markets, but uncertainty remains in the region, with considerable performance variations, says the latest RICS European Housing Review launched today in Brussels.


While housing markets were experiencing rising prices in Belgium, France, Germany and the Nordic countries during 2010, other markets were still facing problems. Ireland, Hungary and Cyprus experienced significant falls through the year and in the UK, Netherlands, Poland and Italy prices were slightly down.

On the other hand, in Spain, Greece and Portugal last year’s falls were quite moderate despite their economic problems, and the Baltic States are progressively recovering.

Though most European markets are stepping out of the crisis, the research reveals that the future of the European housing is still uncertain and full recovery will depend on many different factors.

Unlike previous housing market upturns, this time the recovery is led by price increases, while other market indicators such as housebuilding supply and sales are still low across Europe, with some exceptions. Also many countries continue to face important mortgage constraints. While interest rates remained low during 2010, markets are likely to be very sensitive to any interest rate increases.

The report's author, Professor Michael Ball, said:
"Full recovery will not occur until housing markets are fully functioning again: with plentiful mortgage finance, revived housebuilding and extensive market turnover throughout all sectors. However, the residential sector in Europe is far from following the long term standstill that the US housing is experiencing.”

European Housing Review
2009 2010
Ireland-18,5-10,8
Cyprus -8-6,8
Greece-4,2-4,9
Spain -6,3-3,5
Poland -8,5-3,3
UK 5,1-3,2
Hungary -11,3-2,7
Italy -4-2
Iceland-8,3-1,4
Netherlands -5,1-1
Portugal0,021
Malta -1,41,5
France2,22
Denmark -5,12,7
Germany-1,93,6
Austria 1,13,7
Slovenia-1,83,9
Switzerland 6,24,2
Sweden7,15,2
Finland 7,95,4
Belgium1,85,5
Norway 11,66,6
Slovakia-17,611,6