News »
10. April 2012 
Print
Print
CEE - Prolonged period of restricted financing ahead
Overall commercial property investment volumes in Central and Eastrn Europe (CEE) amounted to €900 million during the first quarter (Q1) of 2012. This is the lowest volume achieved since Q3 2009. The main reasons for these lower volumes relate to less financing being available and narrowing investor requirements. Again most transaction activity happened in Poland. One notable exception to this was the sale of City Business Centre in Timisoara to New Europe Property Investment (NEPI), representing the first significant regional office transaction in Romania since the market started recovering from the trough reached during 2009. Another interesting transaction was the closing of a ProLogis portfolio acquired by HinesGlobal REIT including Polish assets.
Continuing pressure on real estate finance has resulted in a significantly changed spectrum of activ real estate financiers across CEE. Most active financiers are focused on Central Europe with Poland and the Czech Republic clearly outstanding. Still, even here bank requirements regarding margins and ratios combined with a general risk averse outlook are restricting deal flow to the prime end of the market. Standing investments are clearly favored with development financing increasingly challenging to obtain, a factor which is already significantly affecting the development pipeline across CEE. Deal flow in Slovakia and especially in Hungary is expected to be mostly dependent on existing client relations as well as equity buyers moving into these markets where interesting capital growth potential is offered. Unless new types of financiers come forward a significant increase of liquidity is not expected soon and these markets will remain dependent on one-off transactions.
Property deal flow in Slovakia, and especially in Hungary, is expected to be mostly dependent on existing client relations as well as equity buyers moving into these markets where interesting capital growth potential is offered. Unless new types of financiers come forward a significant increase of liquidity is not expected soon and these markets will remain dependent on one-off property transactions.
Patrick O’Gorman, Director of CEE Capital Markets, CBRE, commented:
“Narrowing investor requirements due to an increased search for security is increasingly resulting in to a mismatch. Therefore the scope of active property investors in CEE is increasingly shifting towards the high end of the market where large “trophy-like” assets are sought after. As witnessed during 2011, this causes large fluctuations in deal flow in the region and therefore Q1 2012 may seem to be a bit on the low end of the spectrum. Based on the pipeline of transactions pending especially in Poland and the Czech Republic we expect deal flow to increase from Q1 levels, however, the availability of financing is going to play an important role in this.”
CBRE’s Investor Intention Survey 2012 confirms this sentiment. CEE was confirmed as being one of the top three most interesting European locations for investment during 2012 based on a survey done around 340 investors and asset managers. Prime yields have remained stable in most capital cities in the region. Beyond prime some softening of yields is starting to become visible in the office segment based on the reasons described above.
Continuing pressure on real estate finance has resulted in a significantly changed spectrum of activ real estate financiers across CEE. Most active financiers are focused on Central Europe with Poland and the Czech Republic clearly outstanding. Still, even here bank requirements regarding margins and ratios combined with a general risk averse outlook are restricting deal flow to the prime end of the market. Standing investments are clearly favored with development financing increasingly challenging to obtain, a factor which is already significantly affecting the development pipeline across CEE. Deal flow in Slovakia and especially in Hungary is expected to be mostly dependent on existing client relations as well as equity buyers moving into these markets where interesting capital growth potential is offered. Unless new types of financiers come forward a significant increase of liquidity is not expected soon and these markets will remain dependent on one-off transactions.
Property deal flow in Slovakia, and especially in Hungary, is expected to be mostly dependent on existing client relations as well as equity buyers moving into these markets where interesting capital growth potential is offered. Unless new types of financiers come forward a significant increase of liquidity is not expected soon and these markets will remain dependent on one-off property transactions.
Patrick O’Gorman, Director of CEE Capital Markets, CBRE, commented:
“Narrowing investor requirements due to an increased search for security is increasingly resulting in to a mismatch. Therefore the scope of active property investors in CEE is increasingly shifting towards the high end of the market where large “trophy-like” assets are sought after. As witnessed during 2011, this causes large fluctuations in deal flow in the region and therefore Q1 2012 may seem to be a bit on the low end of the spectrum. Based on the pipeline of transactions pending especially in Poland and the Czech Republic we expect deal flow to increase from Q1 levels, however, the availability of financing is going to play an important role in this.”
CBRE’s Investor Intention Survey 2012 confirms this sentiment. CEE was confirmed as being one of the top three most interesting European locations for investment during 2012 based on a survey done around 340 investors and asset managers. Prime yields have remained stable in most capital cities in the region. Beyond prime some softening of yields is starting to become visible in the office segment based on the reasons described above.
